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Tuesday, May 6, 2008

A Split Decision?

Democrat Hillary Clinton may have squeaked by Barack Obama in Indiana’s presidential primary on Tuesday night, but did she really win anything?

With 100 percent of polls reporting, Clinton watched her sometimes double-digit lead throughout the night dwindle to the point of where she ended up with only a two percentage point win. That gave her a four-delegate lead (37 to 33) among the 72 delegates at stake on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, Obama easily won Tuesday’s other primary in North Carolina, where his margin of victory was 16 percentage points. As a result, he won 58 of the 115 delegates at stake there.

According to Obama’s website, Tuesday’s split decision now gives him a total of 1,852 delegates compared to 1,700 for Clinton. Or, expressed another way, Obama needs 173 more delegates to win the Democratic nomination.

Next up is West Virginia on May 13, where 28 delegates will be at stake.

Republican John McCain easily won his party’s Indiana and North Carolina primaries, winning 77 percent of the vote in the Hoosier state and 73 percent in the Tar Heel state.

Tuesday’s Other Election Results

The Clinton-Obama presidential race tended to overshadow other contests in Indiana and North Carolina on Tuesday, but there were some interesting results none the less.

The Democratic gubernatorial candidates will both be women. In North Carolina, Lt. Gov. Bev Perdue beat primary opponent Richard Moore, the state’s treasurer, to win the right to battle against Republican Pat McCrory, the mayor of Charlotte.

In Indiana, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson beat Indianapolis architect Jim Schellinger by 5,400 votes to earn the right to face Republican incumbent Mitch Daniels in November.

Other Indiana races of note included Andre Carson, who won beat seven primary opponents to be the Democratic 7th Congressional District candidate. Carson also won a special election in March to replace his grandmother, the late Julia Carson. And incumbent Republican Dan Burton won a tough primary challenge in the 5th Congressional District.

In North Carolina, Wayne Goodwin beat a challenger to win the Democratic nomination for elected insurance commissioner. He will face Republican John Odom in the fall.

Monday, May 5, 2008

Parties Split Louisiana Special Elections

Democrats and Republicans split the two special Congressional elections held in Louisiana on Saturday.

In the 6th Congressional District, Republican state Sen. Steve Scalise easily beat Democrat Gilda Reed by a 75 to 25 percent margin. Scalise now assumes the seat formerly held by Gov. Bobby Jindal.

Democrat Don Cazayoux, an attorney and state representative, narrowly beat Republican Woody Jenkins (49 to 46 percent) to win the 1st Congressional District seat previously held by Republican Richard Baker, who resigned to take a lobbying job.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Hillary Clinton Takes Pennsylvania

As expected, Hillary Clinton won Pennsylvania’s Democratic Party primary contest on Tuesday, beating Barrack Obama by a 10 percentage point vote margin.

Clinton won most of the state’s rural counties while Obama beat Clinton handily in the Philadelphia metro area.

Despite her win, Clinton still trails Obama in the all-important delegate count as the candidates now turn their attention to Indiana and North Carolina, which hold their primaries on May 6.

In the Republican primary, presumptive GOP nominee John McCain won 73 percent of the vote while Ron Paul was second with 16 percent and Mike Huckabee finished third with 11 percent.

Mississippi Race Headed for Run-off

Democrat Travis Childers came within a half percentage point of winning Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District special election on Tuesday.

Childers won 49.4 percent of the vote, but needed 50 percent to be declared the winner. He will now face Republican Greg Davis in a special May 13 run-off election. Davis captured 46 percent of the vote.

The special election became necessary in December when Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour appointed Congressman Roger Wicker to fill the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Trent Lott.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Speier Wins California Special Election

Former California State Senator Jackie Speier is going back to Congress.

Speier, who worked for U.S. Rep. Leo Ryan when he was assassinated in the Jonestown massacre, easily won the special election held this week to replace Democratic Rep. Tom Lantos, who died earlier this year. Lantos represented California’s 12th District.

Speier, who was often a thorn in the side of the insurance industry while she was a state Senator, is now the odds-on favorite to win a full term this fall as the District is considered a Democratic stronghold.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Ex-GOP Congressman Now Libertarian Candidate

Former Republican Congressman Bob Barr has announced that he’s formed an exploratory committee to test his viability as a candidate for the Libertarian presidential nomination.

Barr, who represented the 7th District in Georgia for eight years, said the country was at a “tipping point” in terms of the willingness of voters to look at candidates other than those nominated by the two major parties. Barr said that although he was unlikely to win, his running would give him an opportunity to spread the Libertarian philosophy.

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Alan Keyes Joins Constitution Party

Republican presidential nominee Alan Keyes has decided to seek the presidency with another party.

Keyes announced on his website that he is quitting the Republican Party and is now officially seeking Constitution Party’s presidential nomination.

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Democrat Mike Gravel Becomes a Libertarian

Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel, the “other” Democratic presidential candidate that nobody has heard from in months, has announced he’s dropping out of that race and becoming a Libertarian.

Gravel informed visitors to his website that “the Democratic Party today is no longer the party of FDR. It is a party that continues to sustain war, the military-industry complex and imperialism – all of which I find anathema to my views.”

Gravel’s announcement seems a tad curious, given that he recently endorsed Jesse Johnson, the Green Party candidate for president.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Obama, McCain Win Mississippi Primaries

Senators Barack Obama and John McCain easily won their party’s primary contests in Mississippi on Tuesday.

Obama scored a 61 to 37 percentage win over his Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton, while McCain, already the Republican presidential nominee, won 79 percent of the vote to 12 percent for Mike Huckabee and four percent for Ron Paul.

In the statewide contests, Republicans Glenn L. McCullough Jr. and Travis Childers, will have a run-off election in the 1st Congressional District on April 1 to see who will be the nominee in November, but they will also take part in a April 22 special election to fill out the remaining unexpired term of Roger Wicker, who assumed Trent Lott’s old U.S. Senate when he retired in December.

State Sen. Charlie Ross and an attorney, Gregg Harper, will also have a run-off election on April 1 to see who will be the Republican nominee in the 3rd Congressional District. The Democratic nominee will be Joel Gill.

Carson Wins Grandmother’s Seat

Democrat Andre Carson, an Indianapolis/Marion County city-county councilman, won Indiana’s 7th Congressional District special election on Tuesday, beating his Republican opponent, Jon Elrod, a state representative, by a 54 to 43 percent vote margin.

Carson, who won the seat formerly held by his grandmother, Julia Carson, now faces an even tougher fight on primary day, May 6, when seven Democrats, including two state representatives, will challenge him for the right to run for the seat in November.

Monday, March 10, 2008

Obama Wins Wyoming Caucuses

After losing three of four primary contests last week, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama rebounded on Saturday by winning the Wyoming caucuses. He beat Hillary Clinton by a 62 to 38 percentage margin, and in the process, picked up seven delegates. Clinton won four delegates.

The candidates now shift their attention to Mississippi, where that state’s primary is on Tuesday. Thirty-three Democratic delegates will be at play while 36 Republican delegates will be at stake.

Tuesday’s election in Mississippi also will feature primary contests to determine the candidates for two “open” Congressional seats – the first and third districts. The first district became open when Roger Wicker was appointed by Gov. Haley Barbour last December to fill the unexpired term of former U.S. Sen. Trent Lott. The third district became an open contest when Congressman Chip Pickering announced late last year that he would not seek re-election this year.

Democrats Pick Up Illinois House Seat

Democrat Bill Foster did what some people might call the impossible on Saturday: he won the 14th Congressional District formerly held by former Republican House speaker Dennis Hastert, who held the seat for 20 years before retiring late last year.

Foster, a research scientist, beat Jim Oberweis, a wealthy dairy farmer, by a 53 to 47 percent margin.

Meanwhile, in Louisiana, the number of candidates in two Congressional Districts was narrowed following special elections on Saturday. In the 1st District, the seat formerly held by Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Democrat Gilda Reed overwhelmingly beat her opponent while Republicans State Sen. Steve Scalise and State Rep. Tim Burns will face a run-off election on April 5 since neither obtained a majority of the primary votes.

In Richard Baker’s old 6th Congressional District seat, Democratic state representatives Don Cazayoux and Michael Jackson face a run-off while Republicans Woody Jenkins and Laurinda L. Calogne also face a run-off election. The general election is May 3.

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

McCain Secures Republican Nomination

Arizona Sen. John McCain locked up the Republican presidential nomination on Tuesday night with decisive primary wins in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont.

As a result, McCain picked up 179 delegates to give him a total of 1,226 delegates, or 35 more than the 1,191 he needed to secure the nomination.

McCain’s main GOP opponent in recent weeks, Mike Huckabee, announced he was dropping out of the race and would throw his support behind McCain. The senator is also expected to pick up George W. Bush’s endorsement today when they meet for lunch.

One other GOP presidential nominee, Ron Paul, succeeded Tuesday in easily winning his Texas 14th Congressional District primary contest, beating his opponent by a 70 to 30 percent margin. It is not known when Paul will officially exit the presidential contest.

Hillary Clinton Roars Back

Just when it looked like Hillary Clinton might be finished in her bid to win the Democratic presidential nomination, the New York Senator roared back on Tuesday, winning three of the four primary contests.

Clinton beat her chief opponent, Barack Obama, in Ohio, Rhode Island and in Texas, where she won the primary vote, but appears to have lost the caucus vote to Obama. He easily beat Clinton in Vermont.

Obama, who had put together a string of victories since Super Tuesday on Feb. 5, still leads in the all important convention delegate count. Latest figures give him 1,451 delegates to 1,365 for Clinton. A candidate needs 2,025 to win the nomination.

Meanwhile, in Ohio, former Democratic presidential hopeful Dennis Kucinich won 50 percent of the vote to win his 10th Congressional District primacy race against four opponents.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Hillary Clinton’s ‘Last Stand?’

Will Sen. Hillary Clinton be forced to give up her dream of becoming the country’s first female President when she goes toe to toe today with Sen. Barack Obama in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont? That’s the question that everyone is asking.

Clinton, who appeared to be the presumptive Democratic nominee before Super Tuesday on Feb. 5, has not won a caucus or primary contest since then, and has watched Obama surge from behind in both Ohio and Texas, two states long considered Clinton strongholds.

While neither candidate can secure enough delegates today to lock up the Democratic nomination, most observers agree that Clinton will need a victory – mostly likely in Ohio – to keep her campaign afloat.

Meanwhile, Sen. John McCain should sew up the Republican nomination today with a strong showing in the four states. The key for McCain will be winning Ohio and Vermont, both winner-take-all states and making a strong showing in Texas and Rhode Island, whose delegates are awarded on a proportional basis.

A total of 370 Democratic and 256 Republican delegates are up for grabs today.

Friday, February 29, 2008

Commissioner “Red Necktie” Retiring

North Carolina Insurance Commissioner Jim E. Long – known his iconic red neckties – has announced that he will not seek a seventh term this fall as the state’s elected commissioner.

In making his plans public, Long also announced that he plans to back his deputy, Wayne Goodwin, for the job. Goodwin filed election papers today, the last filing period for candidates.

Friday, February 29, 2008

Mayor Bloomberg Says “No” to Presidential Run

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg ended months of endless speculation this week when he announced that he would not run for president this fall.

Bloomberg, the former billionaire Democrat turned Republican, was being viewed by many as a possible Independent candidate.

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Candidates Raise $3.3 Million A Day in January

The Center for Responsive Politics, the non-partisan, non-profit Washington, D.C. research group that tracks money in politics and its effects on elections and public policy, is out with the latest numbers on what the presidential candidates raised during the month of January.

The Center’s figures show that the candidates took in $3.3 million per day in January, bringing to $685 million the total amount of money raised by all candidates so far in the presidential campaign. Most experts predict the candidates will top $1 billion before the races are over.

And, what about those Democratic super delegates everyone talks about these days? Obviously Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama haven’t forgotten them. Between Clinton and Obama, they have contributed more than $900,000 to the delegates’ own political campaigns. Click here to see how much each super delegate has received so far.

Monday, February 25, 2008

Ralph Nader Running for President

Ralph Nader announced Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he’s running for president this year as an Independent candidate.

Nader’s announcement probably sent shivers through the campaigns of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, who remember the 2000 election cycle when Nader won 2.7 percent of the national vote, and in the eyes of some Democrats, was the reason that Al Gore lost to George W. Bush.

Nader tossed aside that claim on Sunday, saying he was running again because none of this year’s candidates were addressing the issues of corporate crime, Pentagon waste or were promoting labor rights.

One now wonders if Nader’s announcement will empower other individuals such as New York City’s Mayor Michael Bloomberg or Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul to pursue independent presidential campaigns as well.

Friday, February 22, 2008

Arizona Congressman Indicted in Land Deal

Republican Congressman Rick Renzi (AZ-01) has been indicted on charges of conspiracy, wire fraud, money laundering, extortion and insurance fraud in connection with his alleged involvement in a federal land exchange that included land owned by a former business partner and real estate investor.

Last August, Renzi announced he would not seek a fourth term in office.

Friday, February 22, 2008

Mississippi Special Election Set

Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour has set April 22 as the date for a special election to fill the 1st Congressional District formerly held by Rep. Roger Wicker, who was appointed in December to fill out the remainder of Trent Lott’s unexpired U.S. Senate term.

So far, two Republicans, three Democrats and one Green Party candidate have indicated their desire to run for the seat. Barbour also set March 7 as the qualifying deadline for candidates.

Friday, February 22, 2008

A Bad Day for John McCain?

Talk about having a bad day?

Republican presidential front runner John McCain woke up yesterday to news that the New York Times had run a front page story accusing him of once having an alleged inappropriate relationship with a female D.C. lobbyist.

If that wasn’t enough, the Associated Press ran a story later in the day saying that Federal Elections Commission Chairman David Mason had sent McCain a letter earlier in the week asking him to assure the FEC that he did not use the promise of public money to help secure a $4 million line of credit he obtained last November.

The final story of the day was one from Thomas Cook, who runs the liberal blog, BlueIndiana.net. Cook claims McCain is four signatures short of the 500 signatures he needs from the 4th Congressional District to have his name put on the state’s May 6 presidential primary ballot.

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Obama, McCain Keep Rolling On

Senators Barack Obama and John McCain kept the momentum rolling to become their respective party’s presidential nominees by easily winning Tuesday’s primary and caucus contests.

Obama made it nine wins in a row since Super Tuesday on Feb. 5 by beating his chief Democratic challenger, Hillary Clinton, in both the Wisconsin primary and Hawaii caucus. He won in Wisconsin by a 58 to 41 percentage margin and by an even bigger margin (76 to 24 percent) in Hawaii.

Meanwhile, McCain easily beat his main rival, Mike Huckabee, in Wisconsin by a 57 to 37 percent margin. McCain is now less than 300 delegates from securing the Republican nomination.

The candidates have now shifted their attention to Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas and Vermont, where voters will make their choices known on March 4.

Monday, February 18, 2008

McCain Picks Up Important Endorsements

Republican presidential candidate John McCain has picked up some important endorsements during the past week.

Former President George H.W. Bush came out in support of McCain today while former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney threw his support behind McCain late last week and urged his 286 delegates to support McCain’s nomination.

Saturday, February 16, 2008

Clinton Wins New Mexico Democratic Caucus

It took nine days, but officials of the New Mexico Democratic Party announced late last week that Hillary Clinton won the state’s Feb. 5th caucus election over Barack Obama. Clinton ended up with 48.8 percent of the vote compared to 47.6 percent for Obama.

Early returns on election night had given the nod to Obama, but the final tally was delayed with the counting of some 17,000 provisional ballots.

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

McCain, Obama Sweep ‘Potomac’ Primaries

Senators John McCain and Barack Obama swept the ‘Potomac’ primaries on Tuesday, winning their party’s presidential races in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia.

McCain’s closest victory came in Virginia, where he won by a 50 to 41 percentage margin over Mike Huckabee. With his victories, McCain is now within 370 delegates of securing the Republican nomination.

Obama’s win streak stretched to seven states in the past week with his victories on Tuesday. His biggest victory margin over Hillary Clinton came in the District of Columbia, where he won 75 percent of the vote. Obama now leads the Democratic delegate count by 25 delegates. A total of 2,025 are needed to win the nomination.

Monday, February 11, 2008

A Weekend Sweep for Obama

U.S. Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois went four-for-four over the weekend as he won four Democratic caucuses across the country over his chief rival, Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York.

On Saturday, Obama was the choice of Louisiana caucus-goers by a 53 to 36 percent margin. He also won in Nebraska 68 to 32 percent and in Washington state by a margin of 68 to 31 percent with 1 percent uncommitted. On Sunday, Obama won in Maine, beating Clinton 59 to 40 percent with 1 percent uncommitted. As a result of his victories, the Associated Press is now showing that Obama is within 17 delegate votes of Clinton. A total of 2,025 are needed to win the nomination.

Meanwhile, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee won two of the three Republican caucuses held on Saturday. Huckbee narrowly edged John McCain in Louisiana by a 43 to 42 percent margin and won more convincingly in Kansas, 60 to 24 percent. McCain won in Washington state with 26 percent of the vote to 24 percent for Huckabee.

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Mitt Romney ‘Suspends’ Presidential Bid

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has decided to suspend his bid for the Republican presidential nomination.

Through Super Tuesday, Romney had won 10 state caucus or primary races and amassed 295 convention delegates.

Romney’s announcement appears to seal the Republican nomination for Arizona Sen. John McCain. The real question now is whether McCain will choose former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee or Romney as his running-mate.

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Court Rules on ‘Lott’ Senate Election

The Mississippi Supreme Court has ruled by a 7-2 margin that the special election to replace former U.S. Senator Trent Lott should take place in November.

The court’s decision is a blow for Attorney General Jim Hood, who brought the suit, arguing that the state’s constitution required the election to be held within 90 days after Lott resigned last December.

Most view the decision as a win for Sen. Roger Wicker, the former Congressman selected by Gov. Haley Barbour to replace Lott. This gives Wicker more time to establish his incumbency before he faces election against Democrats Ronnie Musgrove or Ronnie Shows. The Democratic primary is March 11.

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

McCain Comes Up Big on Tuesday

Arizona Sen. John McCain became the clear Republican presidential frontrunner on Tuesday, winning in nine states and picking up hundreds of delegates in the process.

McCain won the delegate-rich states of California and New York and picked up victories in his home state of Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey and Oklahoma. As a result, the Associated Press estimates that McCain has 615 delegates towards the magic number of 1,191 delegates needed to win the GOP nomination. The AP count includes projections based on non-binding votes for candidate preference, such as in the Iowa caucuses. Other news organizations that do not include projections in their delegate totals show McCain with 516 delegates at present.

The other big surprise on Tuesday was former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. He won in West Virginia and the southern states of Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia and Tennessee. Many pundits thought Huckabee, who is third in the delegate count, would not fare well on Super Tuesday.

Mitt Romney won contests in seven states, including his home state of Massachusetts and in Utah, the home of the Mormon Church. He also won in Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, Montana and North Dakota. His large caucus victories in some of these states would suggest that not all the GOP faithful are enamored with McCain as the party’s frontrunner.

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

No Clear Democratic Victor on Super Tuesday

If the Super Tuesday results are any indication, the Democratic presidential nomination process may end up being decided at the party’s national convention in late August.

Illinois Sen. Barack Obama won 14 of the 22 Democratic races held on Tuesday, but New York Sen. Hillary Clinton won the large states of California and New York to end up with about a 100 delegate lead in the race to win 2,025 delegates and secure the Democratic nomination.

Besides California and New York, Clinton also won in Arizona, Arkansas, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Oklahoma and Tennessee.

Obama’s victories came in Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, North Dakota and Utah.

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Super Tuesday – By The Numbers

It’s being called the closest thing to a national presidential primary in our country’s history. Up to 80 million individuals could go to the polls today in 24 different states to choose their presidential nominees. But, as www.stateline.org reports, 4.5 million independent voters in Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, New York, Oklahoma and Utah won’t be able to vote because those states have “closed” primaries where only registered party members can cast a ballot.

Here are some other numbers to consider as we await today’s Super Tuesday returns:

Democrats

     4,049 – Delegates attending the Democratic National Convention, Aug. 25-28, Denver, Colorado. Total consists of 3,253 pledged delegates and 796 super delegates.

     2,084 – Democratic delegates at stake today.

     2,025 – “Magic number” to win the Democratic nomination.

     417 – Delegates at stake today in California’s “semi-open” primary.

     18 – Fewest delegates at stake today in Alaska caucuses.

Republicans

     2,380 – Delegates attending the Republican National Convention, Sept. 1-4, St. Paul, Minnesota. Total consists of 1,917 pledged delegates and 463 unpledged delegates.

     1,191 – “Magic number” to win the Republican nomination.

     1,069 – Republican delegates at stake today.

     14 – States where today’s winning Republican candidate wins all the delegates (780).

     8 – Governors who support John McCain’s nomination. Three support Mitt Romney.

Monday, February 4, 2008

Maine Goes For Mitt Romney

Maine Republicans threw their support behind former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in a series of non-binding municipal caucus meetings over the weekend.

Romney won 52 percent of the vote among 68 percent of the towns that held caucuses.

John McCain was second with 21 percent while Ron Paul finished third with 19 percent.

As a result, Romney is expected to win Maine’s 18 delegates to the Republican National Convention.

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Edwards, Giuliani Quit the Race

John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani each gave up their dreams Wednesday of becoming the country’s next president.

Edwards, speaking in New Orleans where he launched his campaign last year, said he would no longer be a candidate for the Democratic nomination. Edwards, a wealthy trial attorney, never seemed to connect with voters with his message of battling greedy corporate interests on behalf of the “little guy.”

His departure leaves Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and Mike Gravel, the former U.S. Senator from Alaska, in the Democratic race.

For Edwards, his best showing came in Iowa, where he finished second to Obama and was one percentage point higher than Clinton. In the four other races where his name was on the ballot, Edwards did no better than third, even in South Carolina, where he was born.

Giuliani, meanwhile, focused his campaign primarily on Florida, where he hoped the winner-take-all primary would give him the state’s 57 delegates and propel him into the forefront of the Republican nomination. Giuliani, however, ended up a distant third behind John McCain and Mitt Romney.

Giuliani made his exit speech in California, where he threw his support behind McCain. Besides McCain and Romney, the other Republicans still in the race are Mike Huckabee, Alan Keyes and Ron Paul.

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

McCain, Property Amendment Florida Victors

Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona and Amendment 1, the property tax amendment, were the big winners in the Florida primaries on Tuesday.

McCain won his third state race (New Hampshire, South Carolina were the others) by streaking to a five percentage point victory (36 to 31%) over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. In the process, McCain picked up 57 Florida delegates.

Amendment 1, which promises to provide property tax relief to the state’s embattled homeowners, easily reached the 60 percentage point mark needed to allow the state’s Constitution to be amended. The final tally showed “Yes” supporters winning 64 percent of the vote.

The big loser in Tuesday’s Republican primary was Rudy Giuliani, who had counted on Florida voters to propel him to victory and make him the party’s frontrunner. Giuliani finished third with 15 percent of the vote and is expected to announce later today that he is dropping out of the presidential contest and throwing his support behind McCain.

In the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton easily won, capturing 50 percent of the vote, but no delegates because the Democratic National Committee stripped the state of delegates for running the primary ahead of schedule. Barack Obama was second with 33 percent of the vote.

All the attention now turns to Super Tuesday on Feb. 5 when 22 states will hold primaries or caucuses. Before that, though, Maine Republicans will hold their municipal caucuses, beginning this Friday.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Property Tax Amendment Overshadows Florida Primary

Floridians go to the polls today to choose their presidential nominees, but the real question on voters’ minds will not be on which nominees win, but whether the property tax ballot initiative will pass.

Amendment 1 is being hailed by Gov. Charles Crist and others as a way to provide residents with property tax relief by doubling homestead exemptions on properties valued over $75,000, placing a 10 percent cap on assessments for commercial and non-homestead properties, giving businesses a $25,000 exemption on their tangible personal property taxes and allowing homeowners to move up to $500,000 in tax benefits accrued from the Save Our Homes program if they purchase another homestead in Florida. Proponents have raised $2.8 million to win the amendment’s passage.

Florida is our Home, Inc., a broad-based coalition of educators, municipal workers and retirees, opposes Amendment 1, arguing that it will cost public schools $2.75 billion in lost revenue over five years and local municipalities will need to reduce their spending by $2.3 billion.

The amendment needs 60 percent voter approval in order to change the state’s constitution. Nearly seven percent of the state’s voters – approximately 700,000 individuals – have voted by absentee ballot.

As for the presidential primaries, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is hoping his strategy of focusing almost exclusively on Florida to make him the Republican frontrunner works. As part of that strategy, the former mayor has been running a series of ads in Florida and on his website in recent days touting the creation of a national catastrophe fund. Right now, however, polls show Giuliani running third behind John McCain and Mitt Romney.

The Democratic primary, like Michigan, is another “non-event” as a result of the Democratic National Committee’s decision to strip the state of its convention delegates for moving up its primary date. And like Michigan, Hillary Clinton is expected to come out ahead of her challengers, Barack Obama and John Edwards.

Monday, January 28, 2008

Two More Representatives Retiring

Two more Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives have announced that they are retiring and not seeking re-election this fall.

They are Jim T. Walsh (NY-25) and Dave Weldon (FL-15).

The latest announcements bring to 31 the number of House members not running this year. Of that number, 25 are Republicans.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Obama Takes South Carolina

U.S. Senator Barack Obama of Illinois decisively won the South Carolina Democratic primary on Saturday, winning 55 percent of the vote.

Hillary Clinton was second with 27 percent while John Edwards finished third with 18 percent.

Democratic candidates now turn their attention to Super Tuesday, Feb. 5, when 22 states will hold primaries or caucuses.

Friday, January 25, 2008

Kucinich Drops Presidential Bid

Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich has given up on his bid to become the Democratic presidential nominee.

Kucinich, whose best showing came in Michigan where he captured four percent of the vote on Jan. 15, now plans to focus on getting re-elected in Ohio’s 10th Congressional District.

And it’s not going to be easy for the six-term Congresssman. Kucinich will face three Democratic challengers in the state’s March 4th primary.

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Choose Your Presidential Candidate By Survey

Still trying to determine which presidential candidate best matches your positions on the issues?

If so, you might want to take the “Select the Candidate” survey developed by Minnesota Public Radio. It asks you a series of multiple-choice questions and then matches your responses to the presidential candidate with similar positions on the issues.

But before you take the MPR survey, you might want to first look to see who your governor is supporting. Stateline.org is keeping a running tally of gubernatorial endorsements.

And, one has to wonder which of the governors might become a vice-presidential candidate if their candidate is nominated.

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Missouri’s Blunt Not Seeking Re-election

Missouri Republican Gov. Matt Blunt surprised everyone on Tuesday when he announced he would not seek re-election to a second four-year term this fall.

Blunt is the first governor to announce that he wasn’t seeking re-election this year. His departure means that three of the 11 gubernatorial races this fall will be “open” contests. The governors in Delaware and North Carolina are term-limited and can’t run again.

Most political pundits were predicting that Blunt would have an uphill re-election battle against Democratic candidate, Jay Nixon, the state’s current Attorney General. Republican candidates will have until March 25 to file as candidates. The state’s primary is August 5.

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Fred Thompson Quits Presidential Race

Former U.S. Senator Fred Thompson of Tennessee announced today he was giving up his bid to become the Republican nominee for president. Thompson said he was “exhausted” from the campaigning.

Thompson, who entered the presidential sweepstakes late last year, was hailed by many as “the true conservative” in the race, but he could no better than second among Wyoming caucus goers. He finished third in both the Iowa and South Carolina caucuses. Thompson’s worse finish came in New Hampshire, where he was in sixth place with only one percent of the vote.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

South Carolina Goes for McCain

John McCain, whose presidential bid derailed in 200 after he lost the South Carolina caucus to George W. Bush, was the winner in the Palmetto state this time around.

He won the South Carolina caucus on Saturday, capturing 33 percent of the vote. Second was Mike Huckabee with 30 percent while Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney had 16 and 15 percent of the vote respectively.

The Republican candidates now turn their attention on Jan. 29 to Florida, the first large state to hold a primary this year.

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Clinton, Romney Win in Nevada

Hillary Clinton made it two in a row on Saturday when she won the Nevada Democratic caucus.

Clinton, who won the New Hampshire primary two weeks ago, won 51 percent of the vote. Second was Barack Obama with 45 percent while John Edwards was a distant third with only 4 percent.

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney also made it two in a row when he won his party's caucus. Romney, who won the Michigan primary on Tuesday, won with 51 percent of the vote. Ron Paul, with his best showing yet, was second with 14 percent. John McCain was third with 13 percent of the vote.

U.S. Rep. Duncan Hunter of California announced he is abandoning his presidential bid after a last place finish in Nevada.

The Democrats now move to South Carolina, where their party's caucus takes place on Saturday. Republicans are looking ahead to the Florida primary on Jan. 29.

Thursday, January 17, 2008

MS Supreme Court to Decide Special Election

Mississippi Republican Gov. Haley Barbour plans to ask the Mississippi Supreme Court to decide on when the special election to replace former U.S. Sen. Trent Lott can be held on Nov. 4, or an earlier date.

Barbour is reacting to a decision handed down this week by a Hinds County Circuit Court judge, who ruled that the governor erred in setting the date for the special election. Democratic Attorney General Jim Hood has argued that state law requires the election to be held within 90 days of Lott's resignation on Dec. 18.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Mitt Romney Wins 'Home' State

Who says you can never go home again?

Mitt Romney proved Tuesday that you can as he returned to his Michigan birthplace and won the Republican presidential primary, beating John McCain by a 39 to 30 percent margin. Mike Huckabee was third with 16 percent of the vote.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton proved she could beat her latest opponent, the Uncommitted. She won the largely meaningless Democratic primary, garnering 55 percent of the votes to 40 percent for Uncommitted. Both Barack Obama and John Edwards withdrew from the Michigan primary after the Democratic National Committee stripped the state of its delegates for moving up the date of the primary.

Next up on Saturday is Nevada and South Carolina. Both Democrats and Republicans will caucus in Nevada, while only the Republican faithful will pick its nominee in South Carolina. Democrats in that state have their turn on Jan. 26.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Rep. Richard Baker Resigns

Republican U.S. Rep. Richard Baker, (LA-06) has announced that he is resigning from Congress no later than Feb. 6 to become the president and CEO of the Managed Funds Association, an industry group representing the $1.8 trillion hedge fund industry.

Baker, the senior member of the House Financial Services Committee, has been an ally of NAMIC and other industry trade groups in the past on a number of insurance issues and he will be missed.

Baker's departure creates a third "open seat" in Louisiana this year. There is some speculation that newly installed Gov. Bobby Jindal will pick April 5 as the date to hold the first party primary to find a replacement for Baker and a successor in the 1st Congressional district, the seat he held before becoming governor. Republican Jim McCrery (LA-04) has also announced that he will not seek re-election when his term ends this year.

Judge Order Special Election Within 90 Days

A Mississippi Circuit Court has ruled that Republican Gov. Haley Barbour exceeded his constitutional authority when he set the special election for November to replaced former U.S. Sen. Trent Lott.

Attorney General Jim Hood, a Democrat, had brought suit against Barbour, claiming state law was clear in stating that a special election had to be called within 90 days of Lott's resignation on Dec. 20.

The judge ruled that the special election will need to be held "on or before March 19, 2008."

NAMIC PAC Closes 2007 in Record Fashion

The NAMIC PAC collected $171,831 in 2007 -- breaking the previous record set in 2006 by 42 percent. More than 500 individuals from more than 150 member companies contributed last year, including NAMIC staff, which raised more than $13,000.

"NAMIC is well on track to reach our two-year election-cycle goal of $350,000, and invest more than $400,000 in the 2008 elections. We are investing almost twice as much in this election cycle than in any previous," said Jimi Grande, NAMIC's vice president for federal and political affairs. "Through NAMIC's political involvement programs our members are poised to have a meaningful impact on elections across the country in 2008. No issue or campaign will be decided before our members' voices are heard."